Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Childless Households Shape Real Estate Trends

The fertility rate in the U.S. has dropped to the lowest level on record, and with fewer households having children, consumers’ real estate needs are changing.

In 2015, slightly more than 70 percent of households had no children living at home, a three-percentage-point increase from 2011, according to the Census Bureau’s American Housing Survey. Broken out by age group, those ages 25 to 29 and 35 to 44 who didn’t have children in their household rose by more than 5 percent in that time period, the survey shows. The number of 30- to 34-year-olds without children increased by 4 percent.

The trend in people delaying marriage and having fewer children stands to have an impact on housing over the long term, Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS®, told The Washington Post. “The fact that we’re having smaller-size families, I think, naturally means the demand for smaller-size housing would get greater interest than before,” Yun says.

Robert Dietz, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, told the Post that, in general, home buyers tend to seek properties that offer 800 square feet of space per person in the household. About 90 percent of buyers with children younger than 18 purchased a detached single-family house, according to NAR’s 2016 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. However, 79 percent of buyers without children also purchased such a property. Childless buyers tend to gravitate toward urban areas and prefer townhouses and condos, according to NAR’s report.

“We’re seeing this trend in many metro markets, so clearly there is a consumer desire and preference for wanting to move closer to the city,” Yun says. “That’s generally associated also with smaller-sized homes because those big McMansions that are being built are typically out in the more distant suburbs where the land is plentiful.” Further, buyers without children say friends, family, shopping, and entertainment influence their neighborhood choices the most, according to NAR.

Dietz says that while single-family housing starts are growing, they are lower than expected, partially because of household formations. Changing demographics will have an influence on what builders build, he says. “In certain markets where you’re going to have an increase in the number of childless households, that does mean that maybe townhouse construction is a greater option than, say, 3,000-square-foot single-family detached homes.”

SOURCE: DAILY REAL ESTATE NEWS

Any questions or comments, feel free to contact James Y. Kuang at (626) 371-5662 or by email: james.kuang@coldwellbanker.com    

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Tuesday, September 5, 2017

Climate Change to Trigger Housing Crisis?

Coastal flooding, wildfires, and extreme weather events are posing an increasing risk to real estate. Last week’s Hurricane Harvey will likely go down as one of the costliest hurricanes in U.S. history with projections, so far, coming in at $10 billion to $20 billion in damages. Texas homeowners are left picking up the pieces from record levels of flooding.

The threats of weather-related disasters continues to grow. Freddie Mac’s chief economist last year wrote that an increase in coastal flooding and storm surges will eventually worsen to the point that homeowners, unable to sell flooded properties, will abandon their homes and mortgages. That could trigger a housing crisis, he wrote.

The government has spent $357 billion on disaster recovery in the last 10 years, according to Insurance Journal. The second highest payout on record was in 2016.

The home insurance market is seeing costs rise, and it’s projected to get worse. Over the next 15 years, the U.S. could see higher sea levels and storm surges that could increase the annual cost of coastal storms along the Eastern Seaboard and Gulf of Mexico by up to $35 billion, according to a 2014 analysis by Risky Business.

Flooding poses the biggest threats as the costliest type of natural disaster in the U.S. The National Flood Insurance Program was created to help alleviate the expenses from private insurers, but now the NFIP faces a looming expiration date.

The NFIP has a Sept. 30 deadline for Congress’ reauthorization. The NFIP helps to pay for and provide policies for millions of properties in at-risk flood areas across the country. The program is currently $24.6 billion in debt.

If Congress lets the NFIP lapse, the Federal Emergency Management Agency won’t be allowed to sell or renew flood insurance policies, pay existing claims, or start any mapping or management activities to create accurate assessments of risk, Curbed.com reports.
Carlos Gutierrez, a real estate pro with Florida’s Gutierrez Group in Miami Beach, says the NFIP program is “a key part of the equation in Florida real estate,” as well as in other coastal regions and areas at risk of flooding. Ninety-three percent of the buildings in Miami Beach are located in a Special Flood Hazard Area, which means they are required to have flood insurance for federally backed mortgages.

“We’re depending on the NFIP program,” Gutierrez told Curbed.com. “It could really hurt our industry if it isn’t renewed, and could cause thousands of home sales not to happen.”

SOURCE: DAILY REAL ESTATE NEWS

Any questions or comments, feel free to contact James Y. Kuang at (626) 371-5662 or by email: james.kuang@coldwellbanker.com    

$10,000 Cash Savings Guarantee! - VIP Buyer Program: www.VIPBuyingToday.com

Limited Time VIP Buyer Bonuses:

BONUS#1: One year home warranty policy ($497 value)

BONUS#2: Lifetime notary service (in office)
BONUS#3: Financial Impact Analysis